本日佳句 - Depression is nothing
Posted in Investment on Mar 18th, 2009
It has been 513 calendar days since the stock market peaked on Oct. 9, 2007. Since then, the S.&P. 500 is down 56 percent and the Dow is off 53 percent. On Jan. 29, 1931—the identical number of days after the 1929 market peak—the S.&P. 500 was down 49 percent and the Dow was down 56 percent. The 1929 crash got off to a much faster start, but we have now more or less caught up (source)
我的想法：比較一下2008崩盤和1930年代大蕭條，最大不同之處，在於資訊的透明度與流通速度。這讓市場交易者更願意承擔風險、更敢嘗試投機、更有能力看穿老師的技倆，看透外資喊盤，看破媒體隨波逐流的習性。
會怎麼收尾沒人知道，但如果現在市場上掌握資訊的投機人比掌握資訊投資人還多，短期內應該沒機會打底。
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